Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)

20 May 2024 Eurozone Monitor Sticky services inflation still the key threat to the outlook for rates

  • EZ headline inflation held steady in April, matching the first estimate; core inflation fell slightly.
  • The near-term outlook for energy inflation has improved, but that will change if oil prices rebound.
  • Services inflation is as sticky as ever and will likely rebound in May; insurance inflation is rocketing.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

17 May 2024 Eurozone Monitor EZ fiscal policy: will the best laid plans of governments go awry?

  • EZ fiscal policy is now consolidating but will remainmuch looser than before the pandemic.
  • We think the Italian government is too optimistic on its deficit-reduction this year, and until 2026 too.
  • The path for Germany’s fiscal position will depend on spending, while revenues matter most in France.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

16 May 2024 Eurozone Monitor The start of a period of sustained EZ GDP growth? We think so

  • GDP growth in the Eurozone rebounded at the start of 2024, matching the initial estimate.
  • A fall in German construction will weigh on EZ growth in Q2, but the overall upturn will continue.
  • EZ employment growth slowed in Q1, but surveys suggest the worst is now over.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence