Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)

20 December 2023 Global Monitor Developed Central Banks are too Cautious on Inflation

  • U.S. - The Fed is Done; Inflation Undershoot will Trigger Easing in Q1
  • EUROZONE- ECB Pushes Back Against H1 Rate-Cut Predictions
  • U.K. - MPC Likely to Wait Until May to Cut Rates
  • CHINA+ - China’s Recovery Makes Glacial Progress in November
  • EM ASIA - Indonesian Imports Will Continue to Outperform Exports Next Year
  • LATAM - Milei Starts Working Hard; Chile Rejects the New Constitution

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global

20 December 2023 US Monitor FOMC Officials' Speeches have a Useful Life of About a Minute

  • FOMC speeches move markets, but they are not a reliable guide to what will happen in three months.
  • The surge in November single-family starts is noise, not signal; expect a correction in December.
  • People’s uneasiness over the labor market signals a gradually upward trend in unemployment.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

19 December 2023 US Monitor December Homebase Says No Payroll Rollover Yet

  • Homebase signals December payroll growth of about 225K; no sign of further weakening yet.
  • Lower rates are beginning to cheer homebuilders, who will gain further market share as home sales rise.
  • Single-family construction is rebounding, fitfully, but the multi-family rollover has further to go.

Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)US

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence