Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Global

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, Eurozone, November 2025

  • In one line: Still pointing to upside risks to our forecast for Q4.

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, Germany, November 2025

  • In one line: Private sector activity growth slows but Q4 still set to be better than Q3.  

Global Datanote: Employment, US, October 2025

  • In one line: Payrolls flattered by the seasonals; rising unemployment keeps a December easing in play.

Global Datanote: Bank Indonesia Decision, November 2025

  • In one line: Easing should resume in December, with a final 25bp move.

19 November 2025 Global Monitor The worst is over for the Swiss economy

  • US - How much is AI contributing to the labor market slowdown?
  • EUROZONE - Swiss economy shrinks more than expected in Q3; Q4 will be better
  • UK - GDP headline means a rate cut, but the underlying picture is better
  • CHINA+ - China’s logistics ambitions: from SF Express to the Northeast Passage
  • EM ASIA - Inventories make Thailand’s Q3 GDP look worse than it actually was
  • LATAM - Brazil’s economy slowing rapidly in Q3; Chile’s first round fragmented

Global Datanote: BCRP Rate Decision, Peru, November, 2025

  • In one line: On hold, reflecting a cautious global backdrop despite continued soft inflation.

Global Datanote: CPI, India, October 2025

  • In one line: Headline is going nowhere for the rest of this year.

12 November 2025 Global Monitor Banxico cautious as it approaches neutral

  • US - Tariffs unlikely to drive a big “re-shoring” of US manufacturing
  • EUROZONE - Swiss GDP fell in Q3 and the economy is now likely in recession
  • UK - Only 15 sleeps to go until the Budget, but firms brush off worries
  • CHINA+ - China’s export growth more resilient than the headline figures suggest
  • EM ASIA - Philippines’ ugly Q3 GDP long in the making; ICI will make things worse
  • LATAM - Banxico cautious as core inflation stickiness curbs easing prospects

Global Datanote: CPI, Chile, October, 2025

  • In one line: Inflation eases, pointing to softer Q4 average.

Global Datanote: CPI, Mexico, October, 2025

  • In one line: Headline inflation drops again in October, supporting Banxico’s cautious easing path.

Global Datanote: Bank Negara Malaysia Decision, October 2025

  • In one line: Resilience to US tariffs, give no reason to cut rates.

Global Datanote: Manufacturing PMI, ASEAN, October 2025

  • In one line: The post-“Liberation Day” recovery in sentiment continues.

Global Datanote: ISM Manufacturing Survey, US, October 2025

  • In one line: Tariff-led jump in goods inflation likely to be temporary.

5 November 2025 Global Monitor The MPC will stand pat this week, but we now see a cut in December

  • US - Indicators of consumers’ spending are starting to flash amber
  • EUROZONE - The ECB keeps rates steady as inflation and GDP look resilient
  • UK - MPC preview: holding Bank Rate steady but signalling cuts
  • CHINA+ - Xi-Trump meet-up: temporary trade truce tilted in China’s favour
  • EM ASIA - Taiwan’s GDP growth still strong, but we think it’s finally peaked
  • LATAM - BCCh holds rates as political noise grows; Mexico’s GDP falls in Q3

Global Datanote: PMIs, Switzerland, October 2025

  • In one line: In line with our view of Swiss economic weakness.

Global Datanote: CPI, Indonesia, October 2025

  • In one line: Raising our 2026 average inflation forecast to just over 3%.
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence