Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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1 September 2025 China+ Monitor Chinese stock-market exuberance won't lift consumers' spirits

  • History suggests that China’s stock-market rally could boost GDP but won’t do much for consumer sentiment.
  • Policymakers will opt for targeted policy support, lest broad easing drives excessive funds into stocks.
  • Tokyo headline inflation slowed in August due to energy subsidies; food inflation remains elevated.

1 September 2025 Eurozone Monitor EZ headline inflation close to 2% in August, but what about core?

  • It’s a coin toss between EZ headline inflation at 2.1% or 2.0% in August, but what happened in the core?
  • Early consumers’ spending data for July point to downside risks to growth in Q3.
  • Germany’s labour market seems to be turning a corner, and ECB inflation expectations are elevated.

1 September 2025 UK Monitor Forecast review: above-consensus growth and rising inflation

  • Data in the past month have been hawkish: rising GDP, a recovering job market and strong inflation.
  • We retain our call for quarter-to-quarter GDP growth of 0.2% in Q3, matching the consensus estimate.
  • Strong growth and sticky inflation mean we expect the MPC to keep rates on hold for the rest of 2025.
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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence