Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

2 February 2026 Emerging Asia Monitor Ins-and-outs of Indonesia's equity market collapse; a good entry point?

  • Indonesia’s soaring equities sold off sharply last week, threatened with a downgrade to ‘frontier’…
  • …Fundamentally, the correction seems harsh, from the standpoint of improving ‘real’ economic activity.
  • Thailand’s election at the end of this week still looks set to result in a fragile coalition government.

2 February 2026 China+ Monitor BoJ likely more focused on JPY than slowing Tokyo inflation

  • Tokyo headline inflation fell 0.5pp to 1.5% in January, but driven mainly by one-off factors.
  • Inflation should slow this year, be cause of cooling food prices, despite the recent bout of JPY weakness.
  • The BoJ is likely to next hike rates in Q4, providing currency moves are manageable.

2 February 2026 Eurozone Monitor Super Friday in the Eurozone less dovish than we expected

  • We now look for EZ headline inflation at 1.8% in January, with the core rate unchanged at 2.3%.
  • Energy and services inflation fell in Germany but were overpowered by rising goods and food inflation.
  • The EZ economy shrugged off tariff whiplash last year, ending 2025 on a high.

2 February 2026 UK Monitor Week in review: BRC shop prices jump, and lending ticks down

  • A big jump in the BRC’s shop price index provides a warning of sticky price pressures.
  • The lending data for December were more downbeat than November’s, but consumers still seem content.
  • We forecast a six-to-three vote for a hold at this week’s MPC meeting, and expect little change to guidance .

EZ Datanote: EC Sentiment, Eurozone, January 2026

In one line: Sentiment improves; selling price expectations edge down.

EZ Datanote: Money Supply, Eurozone, December 2025

In one line: Easing M1 growth offset by falling inflation, for now. 

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence