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21st Apr 2025 12:29EurozoneWeekly Monitor

  • The ECB is making a dovish shift, conditional on a benign tariff outcome for core inflation.
  • Energy prices and the euro can be cruel mistresses for policymakers looking for signals on inflation.
  • Markets are pricing in the tail-risk for ECB rates; we still think the Bank will be more conservative.

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Keywords for: 22 April 2025 Eurozone Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence