- US - Homebase points to strong August payrolls, but we’re looking elsewhere
- EUROZONE - Some wage growth indices are rising, but the ECB will still cut
- UK - An even-handed MPC would look through the services undershoot
- CHINA+ - China’s July activity data point to softer economic momentum
- EM ASIA - Starting gun fired; the BSP likely to step up cuts to 50bp each
- LATAM - The service is on holiday, returning next week
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
In one line: Energy inflation will back in August and September; the core will remain high.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: The BSP pulls the trigger… more—and potentially larger—cuts to come in Q4.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- In one line: Small surplus isn’t actually that bad, while the stellar y/y rates need to be put into context.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- US - July core CPI data to leave the door wide open to rapid Fed easing
- EUROZONE - Is the Taylor Rule back as a forecasting tool in the Eurozone?
- UK - CPI preview: CPI inflation likely to rise to 2.3% in July
- CHINA+ - China’s inflation data confirm sluggish demand
- EM ASIA - Ignore the hype, consumption in the Philippines is in recession
- LATAM - Tackling inflation in Mexico and Chile is becoming difficult
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
- In one line: A mixed picture, as transportation costs rise while food prices decline.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: A prudent rate cut, defying consensus, reflects improved inflation dynamics.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: A modest rate cut signals a shift towards further easing, with caution.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Non-core pressures drive significant gains, offsetting the good news in core.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Keeping up the inflation-fighting talk.
Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Global
- US - Labor market weakening is gathering speed; decisive Fed easing is coming
- EUROZONE - SNB will still cut twice more; EZ labour market held up in Q2
- UK - Doves let loose... another rate cut is coming by year-end
- CHINA+ - China’s new urbanisation plan should ramp up domestic demand
- EM ASIA - Property price growth to remain elevated in Singapore till 2026
- LATAM - LatAm: Divergent monetary policies highlight complex landscape
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
In one line: Still suggesting private sector activity stalled at the start of Q3.
Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Global
- In one line: A cautious pause amid mixed economic signals.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: A cautious hold, prioritizing inflation control amid persistent challenges.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: Struggling, the near-term outlook remains challenging.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
- In one line: BanRep maintains steady 50bp rate cuts despite board divide.
Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global
In one line: Blame Italy for the upside surprise.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
- US - Q2’s rapid growth is unsustainable; expect a slowdown ahead
- EUROZONE - Solid Q2 GDP headline in the EZ, but the details are on the soft side
- UK - MPC preview: Almost ready to cut interest rates, cautiously
- CHINA+ - BoJ likely to move cautiously, mindful of fragile growth
- EM ASIA - Should we start to worry even more about inflation in India?
- LATAM - Trade balances improve in LatAm amid weaker currencies
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)Global
In one line: Hanging on for dear life, but also likely underestimating the pace of growth.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
In one line: PMI lower by weakness in manufacturing; services and consumer sentiment are looking much better.
Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Global
