Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

November 2024

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, August / September 2024

  • In one line: Slowing wages make a November rate cut a slam dunk as the MPC will ignore dodgy job data.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, August / September 2024

  • In one line: Slowing wages make a November rate cut a slam dunk as the MPC will ignore dodgy job data.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, August 2024

  • In one line: The headline trade deficit narrows because of erratics and metals.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GDP August 2024

  • In one line:August’s GDP rebound underwhelmed, cutting our Q3 growth forecast to 0.2% quarter-to-quarter.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, September 2024

  • In one line: House price inflation surges after MPC rate cut.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, September 2024

  • In one line: Retail sales rise solidly, shrugging off Budget uncertainty.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, September 2024

  • In one line: The REC stays weak, supporting another 25bp rate cut in November.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, September 2024

  • In one line: The PMI surges as lower borrowing costs and optimism boost activity.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, September 2024

  • In one line: 

    Private sales fall again on an annual basis, but consumer confidence still points to an upturn.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, September 2024

  • In one line: The PMI falls, but it will rebound after the Budget.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, September 2024

  • In one line: The MPC will cut gradually, next in November and then in February.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Manufacturing PMI, September 2024

  • In one line: The PMI dips in September on Budget uncertainty, but output growth remains strong.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK National Accounts, Q2 2024

  • In one line: Q2 GDP growth revised down but remains above potential, while downward saving rate revisions point to slightly less cautious consumers.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Money & Credit, August 2024

  • In one line: MPC interest rate cuts are boosting the housing market and corporate borrowing.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, September 2024

  • In one line: Growth will bounce back but easing inflation will lead the MPC to cut rates in November.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, August 2024

  • In one line:Retail sales flattered by the weather, but the trend is up as real wage gains drive stronger spending. 

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, August 2024

  • In one line:Government borrowing overshoot widens, so the Chancellor will raise taxes and change the debt rule in the Budget.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, September 2024

  • In one line: Tax hike fears cut consumers’ confidence, but we expect it to rebound.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, August 2024

  • In one line: Services inflation rebounds close to the MPC’s forecast, keeping it on track to hold rates tomorrow.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,