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8th Oct 2024 17:59UKDaily Monitor

  • We think the recent surge in gilt yields reflects stronger US data and inflation risks.
  • A change to the fiscal rules will likely result in more borrowing in the upcoming Budget on October 30…
  • ...but that likely had only a modest effect on market pricing, with little change in sovereign risk premia.

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Keywords for: 10 October 2024 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence