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13th Jan 2025 18:47UKDaily Monitor

  • Surging gilt yields have been driven mainly by a global repricing, rather than idiosyncratic UK sovereign risk.
  • We expect gilt yields to fall during 2025 as the MPC cuts interest rates and fiscal worries fade.
  • The Chancellor will plan for weaker public spending to offset higher debt interest costs.

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Keywords for: 15 January 2025 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence