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18th Dec 2024 13:55UKDaily Monitor

  • A tobacco duty hike combined with base effects to lift headline CPI inflation to 2.6% in December.
  • Tax hikes, fading energy deflation and stubborn services prices will raise CPI inflation to 3.1% in April.
  • The MPC has to balance weak output against rising inflation; we look for three 25bp rate cuts in 2025.

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Keywords for: 19 December 2024 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence