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19th Mar 2025 09:08UKDaily Monitor

  • The surprisingly hawkish 8-to-1 vote to hold rates, and guidance changes, signal a more cautious MPC.
  • Saying policy is not “on a pre-set path” gives the MPC the option to skip a cut at May’s meeting.
  • The risk of a sharp job fall fades as the hard data hold up; pay growth remains too strong for 2% inflation. 

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Keywords for: 21 March 2025 UK Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence