Pantheon Macroeconomics

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US Publications

Below is a list of our US Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)

PM Datanote: US Housing Starts, Oct.

 Hurricanes weigh on single-family starts, but the underlying trend is flat.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Weekly Jobless Claims, November 9

The softening in the labor market remains very gradual.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US CPI, October

Consistent with a core PCE print on the 0.2-to-0.3% borderline.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

13 November 2024 US Monitor Hurricanes and warm weather likely meant weak control sales in October

  • Core retail sales usually struggle after hurricanes, and warm weather likely weighed on clothing sales.
  • Carryover from Q3 will support growth in consumption in Q4, but expect slower gains from here.
  • Credit conditions remain very restrictive, as banks have continued to tighten lending standards. 

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Weekly Jobless Claims/Productivity

Weak October payrolls were only partly due to strikes and storms.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US GDP, Q3 Advance Estimate

Solid growth unlikely to prevent a November easing.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US ADP Employment, October

No reason to change payroll forecasts, given ADP's poor record

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Weekly Jobless Claims, October 19

Boost from Milton underwhelms, while claims elsewhere drop back.

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

PM Datanote: US Housing Starts, October

New residential construction likely to flatline. 

Oliver Allen (Senior US Economist)US

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U.S. Document Vault, independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,