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12th Dec 2024 20:26USWeekly Monitor

  • A 25bp easing this week is nailed-on, but recent data suggest a slower pace of rate reductions ahead.
  • The median FOMC participant likely will project 75bp total easing next year, 25bp less than in September.
  • The Fed is still too optimistic about the labor market; 100bp is our base case, but inflation risk is rising.

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Keywords for: 16 December 2024 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence