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13th Mar 2025 10:24USWeekly Monitor

  • The economy has never dodged recession in the last 45 years with unemployment expectations so high…
  • …But WARN data, Indeed job postings and hiring intentions have deteriorated less dramatically.
  • Consumers think tariffs will boost inflation by about 2pp; the reality won’t be that bad.

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Keywords for: 17 March 2025 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence