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5th Nov 2024 10:11USDaily Monitor

  • Labor market data are weak enough for the FOMC to ease by another 25bp today...
  • ...But tariffs likely will keep core PCE inflation above 2%, so we now look for more gradual easing in 2025.
  • Much of Mr. Trump’s agenda, however, will depress GDP growth, keeping the terminal rate low.

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Keywords for: 7 November 2024 US Monitor

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence